Weekly Recap Research 01 - 07 Dec 2025
Week of 01 - 07 December 2022
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Weekly Recap Research
LUNA and LUNC prices soar after prosecutors request to jail Terra founder Do Quan for 12 years
The price of Terra blockchain's Luna and Luna Classic coins rose sharply by 70— 130% on December 6, after U.S. prosecutors filed a petition in the District Court to sentence Terraform Labs co-founder Do Kwon to 12 years in prison, while Kwon is currently on trial in Manhattan, New York, for his role. He was instrumental in the collapse of coins in the Terra ecosystem, which damaged a total market value of about $4 trillion. The event began when TerraUSD, a stablecoin pegged in value to the US dollar, broke its price freeze in May 2022 and escalated into a severe fall of Related Coins Including Terra Classic
Prosecutors pointed out that the Kwon fraud was wide-ranging and had enormous repercussions and deserved harsh/severe penalties, however, such legal factors, in turn, affected asset prices in unexpected directions, with the possibility of a former Terra executive serving a prison sentence, in line with the rise in Looking for coins in the Terra system, Terra Classic (LUNC) rose from around $0.000028 on Dec. 4, to nearly $0.00008 on the evening of Dec. 6, and dropped to about $0.00006 later, while Terra Coin (LUNA) rose from Around $0.07 to around $0.15 over the same period
Do Kwon's legal process has been fraught with complexity and uncertainty. He was arrested in Montenegro in March 2023 for using forged travel documents, during which time both the U.S. and South Korea issued arrest warrants, resulting in a legal dispute over the country of destination of the extradition, before Kwon was eventually extradited to the United States. In December 2024, in addition to the criminal case, he also faced a civil lawsuit from the US Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC), which filed a lawsuit in February 2023. The trial between Terraform Labs and the SEC began last year, with no c. Von joined the US federal prosecutor filing a petition for a 12-year prison sentence against a judge in the New York District Court after Kwon pleaded guilty earlier this year, admitting to defrauding investors and distorting the crypto market through providing false information about the company's blockchain products, while The defendant's lawyers requested that the sentence be reduced to five years in prison, citing the length of his detention in Montenegro and the possibility of prosecution in South Korea. However, US prosecutors see that only a long-term prison sentence would reflect the severity of the fraud and serve as a deterrent mechanism for behavior in The same appearance in the future
Kevin Hassett on the role being watched. Why is this person close to Trump linked to the Fed's changes?
Trump has yet to officially confirm who he will pick to replace Jerome Powell as chairman of the Federal Reserve (Fed) after his term next year. However, given several recent signs taken together, currents are beginning to point to a key crypto-friendly adviser, Kevin Hassett, with expectations that Hassett will Stepping up as the next Fed chairman rose sharply after President Donald Trump appeared to signal a choice in mind during a White House event. In a speech on Tuesday, Trump introduced a guest of honor and greeted Hassett in a communicative manner. Status “That Fed Chair”
Trump said: “This is a great group, and I guess that the Fed chairman has come along here as well,” before adding: “I'm not sure if we can use the word “that,” but he's a respectable individual, and that's what I'm saying, thank you, Kevin,” the sign came just hours after Trump stated at a Cabinet meeting that the process of selecting a Fed chairman is people. The new options have been limited to just one person, from the original ones that were previously considered to be around 10 candidates.
HASSETT, WHO IS THE TOP CONTENDER TO REPLACE JEROME POWELL WHEN THE FED CHAIRMAN'S TERM ENDS IN MAY, WAS ASKED HOW MANY MORE RATE CUTS HE THOUGHT SHOULD BE TAKEN AS HE LOOKED TO 2026. HE REPLIED, “I DON'T WANT TO BE DISAPPOINTED BY COUNTING THE NUMBER OF TIMES OF INTEREST CUTS, BUT I CAN SAY THAT ALL YOU HAVE TO DO IS FOE. Look at the data, in which President Donald Trump has previously called for the Fed to lower the benchmark interest rate to below 2 percent, while the current target is 3.75 percent to 4 percent, while Powell and the board are expected to cut rates by 25 basis points at their December 10 meeting, Hassett said, according to Powell. Could muster the board's consensus well and agree that interest rate cuts should be carried out carefully under close monitoring of economic data.
Top Net flows
In early December 2025, the cryptocurrency market experienced severe volatility, with the price of Bitcoin plummeting and a total liquidation of more than $600 million across the market. As a result, Hyperliquid became a dominant platform with a net inflow of over $100 million, even as the HYPE price fell below $30 on the day. December 7, The main factor comes from the merger news approved on December 2, with funding plans to acquire HYPE. Meanwhile, Polygon PoS can also maintain Inflow thanks to the Hard Fork announcement on December 9 and its participation as part of the Blockchain. Payments Consortium in partnership with Solana and Stellar
Ethereum and Arbitrum, on the other hand, faced significant net outflows as the ETH price plunged below $3,000 amid market volatility. Even though Ethereum made progress in upgrading Fusaka and the company BitMine bought more ETH to reflect long-term sentiment, short-term investors continued to pull out. For Arbitrum, despite still being the largest Layer-2 network, the fact that Hyperliquid is open to USDC deposits directly reduces Arbitrum's role as a bridge, while Solana itself faces an outflow as well, despite network upgrades and setting new records on several aspects of money movement. This phase of capital reflects the restructuring of the market, with capital beginning to migrate away from the old high-cost network to more efficient platforms and more attractive return structures.
Fear & Greed Index
The Crypto Fear & Greed Index is one of the tools used to assess the outlook and sentiment of the crypto market, referring to scores ranging from 0 to 100 (0 stands for Extreme Fear or Extreme Fear and 100 stands for Extreme Greed).
During the week of December 1—7, 2025, the Crypto Fear & Greed Index reflected the volatile market sentiment in a relatively narrow frame, with the index continuing to move mainly in the Fear zone. Although the level of concern is mild, it is not enough to push the market atmosphere to clearly move into the Neutral or Greed zone.
At the beginning of the week, December 1—2, the index stabilized around 21—22 points, reflecting market caution. Most investors also chose to follow the direction and assess environmental factors rather than investing aggressively. Then, during December 3—5, the index improved noticeably, moving up to levels around 25—27. Point, which reflects a recovery in sentiment, the market is beginning to regain some buying power and the overall atmosphere has eased compared to earlier in the week.
However, entering the period of December 6—7, the index began to weaken again, returning to a range of around 21—23 points. Although the reduction was mild, it remained at a higher level than at the beginning of the week, reflecting that the market is still in a surveillance and risk management mode. Investors have not clearly accelerated their decision to enter or exit the market, while not showing alarm signals. Panicked or rushed to sell assets
Bitcoin ETF Flow
The Bitcoin market remains in a cautious state of risk assessment, both in terms of price and the flow of funds moving into the Bitcoin ETF asset class. Although the overall picture does not clearly see large buying forces supporting the market, there are no signs of a strong outflow as in the mid to late November period. The situation reflects the market conditions that are still in a period of consolidation and Wait for the clarity of direction. Even the level of investor confidence according to the market sentiment index will remain in the Fear zone.
During December 1, 2025, inflows into the Bitcoin ETF were generally capped at around $8.5 million, with strong outflows from major funds such as IBIT and BRRR, while other funds showed little movement. The overall picture reflects a rather cautious investment pattern and has yet to see a significant entry of large new bullion into the market.
On December 2—4, the flow of money began to fluctuate more.
- On December 2, there was a predominant inflow in the IBIT and FBTC pools, resulting in a positive total of over $+58.5 million, even though ARKB had relatively high outflows.
- On December 3—4, the outlook weakened again, with the two days' totals in negative territory at -209.1 million dollars. Specifically, on December 4, IBIT and FBTC piles faced relatively clear outflows, consistent with a period in which the Fear & Greed index began to slow down after a midweek rally.
At the end of the week between December 5—7, market signals began to return to a steady state, with December 5 having a total inflow of about $54.8 million. Most of the buying power was concentrated in the ARKB stack, while most other funds had limited movement or zero numbers, reflecting selective investment behavior only to funds that still had positive supporting factors. More than buying in the broad spectrum of the entire market
Ethereum ETF Flow
The movement of the bullion in the Ethereum ETF fund continues to reflect a cautious investment climate. Investors have opted for ETH intermittently, not finding the same strong selling force as in late November, while still seeing no signs of an aggressive acceleration. The December 1, 2025 figure stands at -79.0 million US dollars under pressure. The bulk came from the ETHE fund, which had cash outflows of $49.8 million, reflecting port-rebalancing behavior rather than panic selling.
The midweek period began to show more interesting signs, with December 2—3. The market showed a recovery on December 2nd. Even though ETHA had an outflow of $88.7 million, it was offset by the inflow of FETH at +$50.7 million and ETHE at +$28.1 million, allowing the overall pressure to be absorbed to some extent, while on December 3 the cash flows. MORE CLEARLY, WHEN THE TOTAL ADJUSTED TO +$140.2 MILLION, IT WAS THE STRONGEST DAY IN THAT PERIOD, WITH ETHE HAVING INFLOWS OF +27.6 MILLION DOLLARS, REFLECTING ACCUMULATING DEMAND AT A PACE WHERE PRICES HAVE NOT YET ACCELERATED.
HOWEVER, THE SENTIMENT HAS NOT BEEN ABLE TO STAND FOR THE REST OF THE WEEK, AS ON DECEMBER 4—5 THE MARKET RETURNED TO AN OUTFLOW, WITH ETHE AND ETHH AS THE MAIN PRESSURES. AS A RESULT, THE BUYING FORCE AFTER THE MIDWEEK BEGAN TO WEAKEN. THE OVERALL PICTURE REFLECTS THAT THE MARKET IS ON A SLOW PACE TO WAIT FOR NEW FACTORS OR NEWS RATHER THAN CONTINUING TO PUSH PRICES FORWARD.
Important news:
Bank of America Expands Crypto Access to Wealth Management Clients
Reasons JPMorgan Says Bitcoin Could Surge to $170,000 in the Next Few Months
ZKSync will discontinue the original Ethereum Rollup next year
Source:
https://www.dlnews.com/articles/people-culture/luna-luna-classic-prices-jump-on-do-kwon-news
https://cointelegraph.com/news/trump-hints-kevin-hassett-next-fed-chair
https://beincrypto.com/hyperliquid-hype-seven-month-low/
https://www.bitget.com/amp/news/detail/12560605097377
Note: This analysis is provided every Monday, so some articles may have data discrepancies.
Nota: Questo analisi è situato ogni monday, quindi alcuni parti del articolo possono contengono informazioni inaccurati
WARNING: CRYPTOCURRENCIES AND DIGITAL TOKENS ARE HIGHLY RISKY. YOU MAY LOSE YOUR ENTIRE INVESTMENT. PLEASE STUDY AND INVEST ACCORDING TO THE ACCEPTABLE LEVEL OF RISK.
Thank you for following.
Thanakarn & JP. Daniel
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