Weekly Research Recap 08 - 14 June 2026
Week of June 08 - 14, 2026
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Weekly Recap Research
Bitcoin stands at $63,000, but On-chain data warns bullish is still unsafe
Bitcoin has rebounded near $63,000 after falling to $59,000 earlier in the week. However, on-chain data still reflects that market strength may not be in line with the price recovery, with the current price trading above the average cost of the coin holder, or Realized Price of about $53,600, just 9%, as demand to buy Bitcoin shrinks. Down to 652,000 BTC in a week, it's the sharpest drop since January 2022, with purchases from Spot Bitcoin ETFs slowing significantly since trading began in the U.S. in 2024.
Over the past 30 days, investors have sold Bitcoin and realized a total loss of more than 187,000 BTC, reflecting that the pressure from holders of losses persists, even if the derivatives market has not yet entered a panic, with trading volume in the futures market falling 9% to about $180,900 million, while Open Interest remains flat near $105,000 million overall. Thus, it reflects that the Bitcoin market is beginning to enter more attractive price levels, but signs of recovery are not clear, as the flow of funds from ETFs and the accumulation activities of major investors have not yet returned to the same strong levels as the previous period.
$9 billion in cash outflows, but the big ones haven't ditched Bitcoin ETFs yet
Although Spot Bitcoin ETF has faced more than $1 billion in weekly outflows for four consecutive weeks and has accumulated about $9 billion in outflows from its most recent peak, Bloomberg Intelligence analyst James Seyffart sees the picture as not as weak as the numbers reflect, because since its launch, the Bitcoin ETF has remained bullish. Accumulated net inflows of more than $5 trillion show that most investors are still holding positions, even as Bitcoin prices and crypto markets have experienced volatility in recent times.
Seyffart stated that capital inflows and outflows are common for ETFs that allow investors to trade flexibly. Meanwhile, ETFs that reference Solana and XRP are still able to attract investment pellets despite their launch in adverse market conditions, while the Hyperliquid ETF has around $161 million in assets under management since its launch. In May, the overview did not reflect that institutions are pulling out of the crypto market, but rather an indication that the bullion is spreading to a wider range of assets and investment themes, especially at a time when AI investment flows, data centers and space businesses are gaining traction. Increase from investors around the world
Top Net flows
[https://app.artemisanalytics.com/flows]
Net cash flow data over the past 7 days shows that Hyperliquid has the highest inflow in the market at around $600 million, followed by Ethereum at around $150 million, in line with the development of the more established Hyperliquid ecosystem. On June 11, 2026, Fortune placed Hyperliquid at No. 1 in the DeFi category in the Crypto 100 ranking. The Spot Ethereum ETF had $82.37 million in net inflows as of June 8. Paving the way for the Bitcoin ETF with $91.37 million in net outflows, reflecting that capital was not flowing out of the crypto market as a whole, but is moving to a network that is more practical and has more obvious growth drivers.
Arbitrum, on the other hand, had $700 million in capital outflows, the most in the same period, amid concerns about the unlocking of 92.65 million ARB tokens on June 16, amounting to about $7.58 million, with 36.52 million ARBs allocated to the investor group and a further 56.13 million ARBs to its team, including advisors. The information has been disclosed since June 8, and may result in some investors opting to mitigate risk in advance. However, the flow of capital flowing out of the network does not mean the sale of all ARB tokens, but reflects the circulation of liquidity from the original Layer 2 to the network that can be created. Activity and income have been more prominent over the same period.
Fear & Greed Index
[https://www.coinglass.com/pro/i/FearGreedIndex]
The Crypto Fear & Greed Index is one of the tools used to assess the outlook and sentiment of the crypto market, referring to scores ranging from 0 to 100 (0 stands for Extreme Fear or Extreme Fear and 100 stands for Extreme Greed).
The Crypto Fear & Greed Index is at 21 points in the Fear zone, despite recovering from a 9-point level during the period June 8—9, 2026. It reflects that investors are still not convinced that the market has passed the low. Bitcoin's recovery, which reached the $63,700 level on June 8, coincided with the clearing of a total market value of about $655 million. Hitting more than 104,000 investors, particularly Bitcoin's position that closed at around $315 million, there is a possibility that the early rally was fueled by the closure of the Short Shore position rather than the return of a full round of buying forces.
Market signals began to improve on June 13, when the US Spot Bitcoin ETF had a net inflow of $85.9 million, the highest level since May 14, before the price of Bitcoin moved up to $65,700 on June 14, after the US and Iran managed to reach an interim deal. WTI oil fell nearly 5% to below $81 a barrel. However, the index's remaining at just 21 points reflects that the price recovery is still ahead of investor sentiment, and the market is still waiting for confirmation from more sustained capital flows and buying forces.
Bitcoin ETF Flow
Between June 8 and June 12, 2026, the US Spot Bitcoin ETF had a total net outflow of $319.3 million, with outflows reaching 4 out of 5 business days starting June 8, with $91.4 million in cash outflows, while BlackRock's IBIT fund was redeemed to reach $232.9 million, corresponding to a weakening of R. The price of Bitcoin fell to the $62,900 area after tensions between Iran and Israel erupted again, sending the price of WTI oil up more than 3%, while June 10 was the day of the highest outflow of the week at $213.9 million, amid inflation figures. The US May that is at 4.2% and the price of Bitcoin moves near $61,400.
However, on June 12, capital flows were positive again, with net inflows of $85.9 million, led by IBIT funds with $57.7 million in inflows and Fidelity's FBTC at $18 million. Along with a recovery in Bitcoin prices back to $63,359.71, the week's overview reflected that investors Institutions began to rebound as prices fell to attractive levels. Even so, given the accumulated outflows throughout the week that were still significantly higher than the buybacks, it can be seen that the market remains in a cautious state, and the recovery at the end of the week only reflects a slowdown in sales. Rather than a clear return to the uptrend
Ethereum ETF Flow
The U.S. Spot Ethereum ETF opened the week of June 8, 2026, with net inflows of $82.4 million, led by Fidelity's FETH of $28.6 million and BlackRock's ETHB of $26.9 million, in line with Ethereum's price recovering around $1,688.58, up about 4.43% from the previous day, reflecting that institutional investors were finding. Bun started buying back after the price moved lower, but the buying force is still of a short-term nature and does not clearly reflect the reversal of the cash flow.
From June 9 to June 12, funds in the Ethereum ETF regained total outflows of about $97.2 million, resulting in a full-week return of about $14.8 million in net outflows, with $40.9 million in outflows on June 9 and $35.5 million continuing on June 10, amid a sell-off in risky assets. The pressure on the market sent Ethereum down circa 2.8%, while the Nasdaq 100 index fell by about 1.4% before ETH price moved around $1,664.39 on June 12. The overall picture reflects that institutional investors are still focusing on daily purchases rather than long-term accumulation, and the market still needs to see inflows. Continuously for several days to confirm a significant recovery
Important news:
SpaceX plunges 20% in first day on Nasdaq, raising historic $7.5bn
Standard Chartered points to Bitcoin hitting a low of $59,000. Crypto winter may be over
Wall Street Confluences Crypto, Token Government Bond Market Hits $1.46B
Source:
https://cryptobriefing.com/bitcoin-etf-outflows-ethereum-etf-inflows/?utm_source=chatgpt.com
Note: This analysis is provided every Monday, so some articles may have data discrepancies.
Nota: Questo analisi è situato ogni monday, quindi alcuni parti del articolo possono contengono informazioni inaccurati
WARNING: CRYPTOCURRENCIES AND DIGITAL TOKENS ARE HIGHLY RISKY. YOU MAY LOSE YOUR ENTIRE INVESTMENT. PLEASE STUDY AND INVEST ACCORDING TO THE ACCEPTABLE LEVEL OF RISK.
Thank you for following.
J.P. Daniel
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